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    ACC Showdown – Virginia Tech vs. Georgia Tech – QuadJacks Sports Handicapping Sept. 3, 2012

    Posted by FairwayJay September 2, 2012

    Hokies a 7.5-point betting favorite in key game to open season

     
    The final college football game of the opening weekend takes place Monday night on Labor Day as two contenders in the ACC Coastal Division collide in Blacksburg, Virginia.

    The winner of this game has gone onto the ACC title game every year since 2005. For fans that enjoy a ground assault and top defensive play, you’ll want to tune into ESPN for the nationally televised contest.

    Georgia Tech’s triple-option attack has led them to the top of the nation’s rushing charts as the Yellow Jackets have averaged 302 rushing yards per game (YPG) the past four seasons. Coach Paul Johnson is in his fifth year coaching Georgia Tech and has been an outstanding  addition to the conferences coaches while leading the Yellow Jackets’ program. He’ll match strategies with one of the nation’s proven and premier coaches in Frank Beamer, who enters his 26th season at Virginia Tech and has guided the Hokies to 19-consecutive Bowl games.

    Georgia Tech senior QB Tevin Washington led the team in rushing last year with nearly 1,000 yards and 14 TD’s, and he’ll be the focal point of the Yellow Jackets’ triple-option attack as they run the ball nearly 80% of their plays.  Four returning offensive line starters comprise the best OL in coach Johnson’s tenure at Georgia Tech.

    The Hokies are expected to have one of the nation’s strongest defenses this season with most of the unit returning intact after allowing 17 points per game (PPG) last season. However, note that linebacker Tariq Edwards is out for this game and that the secondary has players changing positions between cornerback and safety. Any injuries in the secondary could prove problematic with no depth or game experience behind the starters. Virginia Tech did manage to ‘hold’ Georgia Tech to 243 rushing yards last season in a 37-26 Hokies victory, but when executed properly, the option attack can succeed against nearly all defenses and especially if the opponent lacks time to prepare. That’s not the case in opening week, and while it appears that the Hokies profile should have them playing more lower-scoring games, watch this opening game with interest as Georgia Tech tries to slow Hokies QB Logan Thomas as the Hokies are expected to employ more uptempo approach.

    From a technical point of view, Virginia Tech is 0-5 against the spread (ATS) the past five seasons in their first lined game of the year and just 2-9 ATS recently as home favorite of less than 10 points. Georgia Tech coach Paul Johnson has historically excelled in the underdog role during his career, delivering the ATS winner over 70% of the time as a road underdog and Georgia Tech is also 8-1 ATS their last nine games as 7+ point underdogs.

    About FairwayJay

    Fairway Jay is a recognized leader and one of the sports industries insightful point spread prognosticators. Fairway Jay understands the dynamics involved in sports handicapping and betting over and above the myriad of stats to sort through to have success. You can sign up for weekly game analysis at www.fairwayjay.us & Follow on Twitter: @FairwayJay

    View all post by FairwayJay Visit author's website

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