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    College Football Betting – Defensive Dominators – QuadJacks Sports Handicapping October 5, 2012

    Posted by FairwayJay October 5, 2012

    Strong defensive teams provide more consistency in results.

     
    In seasons past I’ve written many articles on college football using statistical indicators and profiles to direct you to more point spread winners. As teams conclude most of their non-conference games and get into the thick of their conference schedules, the statistics and profiles become more clear. That’s of course if you can sort through the more meaningful numbers and understand the strength and weaknesses of opponents faced.

    By mid-October, I will provide my annual update on teams with strong, balanced offenses that have specific statistical profiles related to both rushing and passing. This week we’ll focus on the defensive side of the ball and identify some of college football’s defensive dominators. While some of these teams are proven programs and names you might expect to see among the stronger defensive teams, others may surprise you. For the purposes of this article, I have outlined teams that fit certain criteria. But understand that some teams have played some softer opponents which can clearly skew the stats, and I’m also using the NCAA rushing statistics, which can be less than reliable in terms of accuracy since they count sack yardage against rushing statistics.

    The purpose of this article is to identify some of the stronger defensive teams, but also encourage you to dig a little deeper in your own evaluation of teams, schedules and stats. Supporting strong defensive teams is usually a good starting point in your analysis of a contest and match-up, but note injuries, turnovers and other negative yardage or factors as you analyze the opponent and schedules.

    The following teams fit the criteria of a defensive dominator based on:

    Allow 315 or less yards per game

    Allow 115 or less rushing yards per game

    Allow 3.3 or less yards per rush

    Allow 16 or less points per game

    Here are 13 dominating defensive teams through October 4, 2012.  They have combined to go 32-27 ATS (54%).  Many high-profile teams are often favored, but utilize independent judgment in your point spread prognosis and know that one-dimensional offensive teams will often struggle against these defensive dandies.

    Alabama                                   North Carolina

    BYU                                          Notre Dame

    Connecticut                              Rutgers

    Florida State                             South Carolina

    LSU                                          Stanford

    Michigan State                         TCU

    Texas Tech

    I hope this information is useful to you. If you’re curious about anything else, or want to discuss a concept further, fire me a message – FairwayJay@gmail.com. I provide free plays, analysis, ATS situations and more for those requesting to be on my complimentary email list. You can also follow me on Twitter, where I post a lot of my sports betting thoughts: @FairwayJay.

    Stay on course! :-)

    QuadJacks - Friday, October 5, 2012

    About FairwayJay

    Fairway Jay is a recognized leader and one of the sports industries insightful point spread prognosticators. Fairway Jay understands the dynamics involved in sports handicapping and betting over and above the myriad of stats to sort through to have success. You can sign up for weekly game analysis at www.fairwayjay.us & Follow on Twitter: @FairwayJay

    View all post by FairwayJay Visit author's website

    There are 3 Comments

    1. - October 8, 2012
        -   Reply

      Thanks for these college football betting defensive dominators! It will be a good addition to my strategy in order to win more.

    2. Pingback QuadJacks | College Football Power Offenses

    3. - October 17, 2012
        -   Reply

      FEI is the opponent-adjusted value of Game Efficiency (GE), a measurement of the success rate of a team scoring and preventing opponent scoring throughout the non-garbage-time possessions of a game. And from the eyes of great analyst of betting helps you to guess more than accurate.

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