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    College Football Big Game Betting – by @FairwayJay

    Posted by FairwayJay November 1, 2012

    Handicapping the top teams and match-ups as they push for BCS Title Game

    I did some sports handicapping shows this week with some point spread prognosis on podcasts featuring the marquee college football games. The sports books and bookmakers will be taking big betting action on these key games and they are worthy of the attention this week.

    Alabama at LSU

    Oregon at USC

    Oklahoma State at Kansas State

    Check out the current betting lines in Las Vegas.

    Alabama and Oregon are the top-2 teams in the AP and coaches polls, but the Ducks are #4 in the BCS computer poll. Kansas State is #4 in the AP and coach’s poll but the Wildcats have the approval of the BCS computer rankings at #2.  Oregon is now the #1 scoring team in the nation averaging over 53 points per game (ppg) and a nation-high 59 TD’s in 8 games. Ironically, they play the preseason #1 team USC Trojans, who have underperformed but present a real threat despite last week’s loss to Arizona. Plenty of points as the teams trade punches and scoring chances this week in Los Angeles with a total of 70 posted on the betting board.

    Quite the opposite expected in Baton Rouge where coach Nick Saban and Les Miles prepare SEC kingpins Alabama and LSU for a rivalry rematch from last year’s national championship game. We had Alabama big in that contest and the ‘Tide rolled 21-0 with another dominating defensive performance. During the regular season exactly one year ago recall that LSU went to Tuscaloosa and beat ‘Bama 9-6 in a defensive tussle. Tremendous talent in the trenches in this match-up with potentially 8 top NFL prospects along the lines. The Tigers are 7-1 and have an extra week of rest and prep following a pair of SEC wins over South Carolina and Texas A&M. “Death Valley is a place where opponents’ dreams come to die”, is what coach Les Miles states following the LSU’s victory over So. Carolina. Bama’s defense is the best in the nation while the ‘Tide also sport a +18 turnover margin with 23 forced turnovers and a nations-best 125 points scored off those turnovers. LSU benefitted from a +5 turnover margin in their win over Texas A&M and will need to win the turnover battle to pull the upset.  This late season situation with rest, revenge and dominating home field ‘Dog is very strong. But tough to come back if you fall behind against the ‘Tide and LSU’s pass offense is near the bottom in college football averaging just 177 passing ypg.  Defense is expected to be the name of the game again with a total posted at 41.  Dominating defensive numbers for Alabama include 21-straight games holding opponents to 14 or less points with their last 24 victories by at least 16 points. LSU counters with a dominating home record that includes 35-1 SU at home in night games.

    The Kansas State and Oklahoma State match-up features a pair of teams with ‘200 Club’ offenses that both run and pass for at least 200 yards. They also feature superb special teams with the Cowboys kicking game and Wildcats kick return specialists.  I have some solid situations, stats and insight in this key Big 12 battle  along with additional information on these big betting match-ups and you can reach me by email for additional details FairwayJay@gmail.com and follow on Twitter @FairwayJay

    Best wishes on your big game betting and stay on Course…

     

    About FairwayJay

    Fairway Jay is a recognized leader and one of the sports industries insightful point spread prognosticators. Fairway Jay understands the dynamics involved in sports handicapping and betting over and above the myriad of stats to sort through to have success. You can sign up for weekly game analysis at www.fairwayjay.us & Follow on Twitter: @FairwayJay

    View all post by FairwayJay Visit author's website

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