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    Handicapping Preseason NFL Football

    Posted by FairwayJay July 29, 2012

    We’re less than a week away from the Hall of Fame game on Sunday, August 5, 2012 between the Arizona Cardinals and New Orleans Saints in Canton, Ohio.

    I’ll have a preview and prediction on that game later this week, but thought I would chip-in with some initial thoughts and insight on preseason football (NFLX) as the full schedule of Week 1 preseason games starts on Thursday, August 9, 2012.

    Handicapping and strategies are certainly different in the preseason, but regardless of what your friends or others say about betting preseason football, there are definitely opportunities to take advantage and produce a profit and return on investment. Many will argue there are too many unknown factors, such as players and playing time during the preseason. But for those who follow the teams and recognize their needs, player personnel, coaching comments and what they want to accomplish, there can be some positive profits and returns as you research and interpret the information.

    Evaluating the components and keys necessary to betting and beating the bookmaker during the preseason include an understanding of motivational components, player personnel and playing time, injuries, and coaching changes and schemes. Some teams and coaches approach certain games as more of a scrimmage than a game, and therein lies the major difference between preseason football and the regular season.

    Linemakers know there is more uncertainty in the preseason, and that’s why you’ll also see more games lined at ‘3’ on the betting board. There are also more lower-posted totals in the mid-30’s during. Teams and coaches rarely game-plan for an opponent during the preseason, yet it’s important to follow team and player news, comments and quotes as you try to uncover additional information. Local team coverage through online newspapers along with beat writers and Twitter feeds provides plenty of opportunities to stay current on team and player news.

    Winning is the most important goal starting Week 1 in September, while player evaluations, health and building levels of confidence in certain players is more important in preseason and August football. Games and bets are often won or lost in the later stages of preseason contests when second, third or even fourth-string players are on the field. So following teams and uncovering potential edges can come in the form of team depth, confidence and cohesiveness of the players. Plenty of teams will rest key starters much of the preseason, but also find themselves with many players injured. With a long, physical and grueling season ahead, the risk of injury to starters and playing too much in the preseason does not match the reward, so look for teams with not only quality depth, but capable or proven performers ready to compete and contribute.

    Final scores can be more misleading in preseason football, so pay attention to playing time, competition and performances, and note the quality of play and performances of the starters and top units, as that will guide you to a better understanding of performance for the final few weeks of preseason and potentially serve as an added guide for the opening weeks of regular season action.

    Fairway Jay is a recognized leader and one of the sports industry’s most insightful point spread prognosticators. Fairway Jay understands the dynamics involved in sports handicapping and betting over and above the myriad of stats to sort through to have success. Fairway Jay is a proven profit-producer in the NFL and CFB and widely recognized as one of the nation’s premier NFL handicappers. His documented success over the past decade has produced industry-leading results including a #1 finish in the 2010 Wise Guys contest between 64 of the nation’s top handicappers. His 44-22 (67%) regular season record during the 2010 NFL season produced another top finish and he’s consistently a winning and profitable NFL handicapper. With documented success and experience to battle with the best and beat the bookmaker, follow Fairway Jay and join the hundreds that win thousands and profit from Fairway Jay’s experience and well-rounded game. Follow on Twitter: @FairwayJay

    About FairwayJay

    Fairway Jay is a recognized leader and one of the sports industries insightful point spread prognosticators. Fairway Jay understands the dynamics involved in sports handicapping and betting over and above the myriad of stats to sort through to have success. You can sign up for weekly game analysis at www.fairwayjay.us & Follow on Twitter: @FairwayJay

    View all post by FairwayJay Visit author's website

    There is 1 Comment

    1. Zekday0
      - July 29, 2012
        -   Reply

      Looking forward to the NFL season @FairwayJay

    Write Your Comment

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