• Air Max Shoes
  • kobe bryant shoes
  • KD 7
  • Lebron Shoes 12
  • Nike Zoom Hyperrev
  • Nike KD Shoes
  • Cheap Nike Free
  • Nike Free
  • Lebron 12 Shoes
  • Cheap Air Max
  • Cheap Lebron Jerseys
  • Kobe Bryant Jerseys
  • Kevin Durant Jersey
  • Ugg Sale
  • Jordan Shoes
  • Cheap Moncler Coats
  • Jeremy Scott Wings
  • Jeremy Scott Shoes
  • Lebron James Shoes
  • Adidas Porsche Design
  • Kobe Shoes
  • Cheap Kevin Durant Shoes
  • Kevin Durant Shoes
  • Lebron 11
  • Porsche Design Adidas
  • Cheap KD Shoes
  • Lerbon James Sneakers
  • Cheap KD Shoes
  • Herve Leger Dress
  • Lebron Shoes
  • Porsche Design Shoes
  • Lebron Shoes
  • Lebron James Shoes
  • Nike Shoes
  • Cheap Coach Bags
  • louis vuitton purses
  • cheap nba jerseys
  • Lebron James Shoes
  • Cheap Kobe Shoes
  • Kobe Shoes
  • KD Shoes
  • louis vuitton
  • KD Shoes
  • Sacramento Kings Jerseys
  • Washington Wizards Jerseys
  • Air Jordan Shoes
  • kd 6
  • kd 7
  • kobe 9
  • ralph lauren blue

    Horse Betting Tips with Erich Brehm | Hawthorne, Race 7

    Posted by EBrehmJr October 30, 2012

    Looking for a little weekday action? Here is a long shot to consider!

    Thursday, Nov 1
    Race 7
    Horse – #6 – Bug Juice
    Morning line – 8-1

    Let me start with a simple risk vs reward fact. If this horse drops below 6-1, I will NOT touch him as there are some relatively tough cookies in Hawthorne’s biggest race of the day. So keep an eye on that as it gets close to post time. (Remember, you cannot lock in odds in horse racing as you can in sports betting.)

    #6 Bug Juice has won 6 of 14 life time and won his last race, coming off a layoff, at Presque Isle Downs. He closed nicely from 5th by five lengths (5 lengths is equivalent to 1 second), making a 4 wide bid at the top of the turn to win by a length and a half. Now, why is how he won important? All major threats in today’s race prefer the lead or close to it, and if they all fight for it, this race will set up perfect for #6.

    Since that race, this horse has upgraded from 19% to a 28% winning trainer in Larry Rivelli. Larry is 22% with horses 2nd off the layoff and 30% when the horse won his last race!

    In addition, the connections put one of Hawthorne’s top jocks Quincy Hamilton in the driver’s seat.

    At the right price, this looks to be a sexy play.

    Thanks for the shout outs from those of you who played my 2 winning picks over the weekend. Good luck and stay tuned for tips on this weekend’s Breeders Cup!

    Erich Brehm is a poker player, gambler and horse handicapper. He has spent much of his life in the horse racing industry. Erich can be followed on Twitter @EBrehmJr.

    QuadJacks - Monday, October 29, 2012

    There are 14 Comments

    1. Bryan Matthews
      - October 31, 2012
        -   Reply

      Since when has Larry Rivelli been an improvement over Bruce Levine? For that matter, Quincy Hamilton over Harry Vega?

      • - October 31, 2012
          -   Reply

        Hey Bryan,
        I’d like to quickly address your concerns. As I mentioned before, Larry is winning 10% more of his starts than Bruce. Numbers do not lie, Larry Rivelli is simply having a better year.

        48 year old Vega could retire any day now and I personally have zero respect for racing in Pennsylvania. Hamilton, age 29, has been doing very well in Chicago and is clearly the stronger rider this day in age.

    2. wally
      - October 31, 2012
        -   Reply

      All that you say makes sense to me! I am sticking with your picks! Your credentials are excellent. Cannot wait for your help at Breeder’s Cup!!!!

    3. CutTheCrackJack
      - October 31, 2012
        -   Reply

      Thanks for the insight – I am 2 for 2 on your tips so here’s hoping my winning streak continues!

    4. - October 31, 2012
        -   Reply

      Thanks guys. Please remember, the value needs to be there. If he goes off at too much an underlay I strongly suggest you leave this pick alone.


    5. Bryan Matthews
      - October 31, 2012
        -   Reply

      As far as win percentage is concerned you’re right Rivelli’s is higher, anyone can see that. Rather I am suggesting Levine’s body of work definitely outweighs Rivelli and if we are talking level of competition (as you were with Vega) one would hardly argue Illinois racing is a tougher circuit than NY. this pint is accentuated by Levine’s earning per start which is nearly 2k more that of Rivelli’s.

      Further to that I would tend to suggest there is less speed signed on than you’re anticipating and in fact Bug Juice, will probably lay closer than you think. With that said, the #1 4-1 ML who is lightly raced and appreciates this distance on the lawn should improve and sit in a stalking position to get up in time.

    6. - October 31, 2012
        -   Reply

      Coming from a family that has owned race horses for over 30 years, I won’t be the first to tell you that trainers are all personal preference. Unfortunately for you, Bruce Levine is no longer in the picture. I prefer to focus on Larry Rivelli’s 2nd off the layoff percentage (22% on 129 races).

      As a gentleman, I wish you well with your creative pick – morning line favorite, on the rail, in a sprint race.

    7. Bryan Matthews
      - October 31, 2012
        -   Reply

      if you’ve been around racing as long as you say you have I’m sure you understand that the ML is indicative of what the track handicapper thinks the public bet, many times ML is inaccurate, notwithstanding I am sure you can appreciate 4-1 is hardly chalky, you yourself said this was a wide open race. Besides 4 to 1 provides decent value in my opinion on a horse I honestly believe will win. By the way, unfortunately for you rather Levine isn’t involved and the horse has not saw action for 9 months prior to his comeback win.

    8. - October 31, 2012
        -   Reply

      I never said this was a wide open race and I highly anticipate your horse going off as an underlay. 4 of his 6 wins were in Chicago and the betting public won’t forget that.
      I’m anxious to see how your favorite does vs my long shot… Good luck, Sir.

    9. Bryan Matthews
      - November 1, 2012
        -   Reply

      Looks like your selection scratched out for an easier spot, obviously the connections knew something you didn’t.

    10. Bryan Matthews
      - November 1, 2012
        -   Reply

      Good move by Bug Juice connections to,scratch out for tomorrow, they wouldn’t have beat Hogy’s (7 wide move) today. Off the lawn is probably a better scenario for that runner.

    11. - November 1, 2012
        -   Reply

      Unfortunately, our value pick scratched today. The chalk on the rail won at even money:( Nice pick, BM!

    12. Bryan Matthews
      - November 2, 2012
        -   Reply

      Ouch, Bug Juice finished last. Must have been a good reason he was off from Feb to Sept, guess you didn’t take that into consideration either, ha.

    13. - December 6, 2012
        -   Reply

      Bug Juice is back this Saturday Dec 8th and I still like him! Outside #9 and #10 look to battle with #3 and #4 for the lead and things should get messy at the top of the turn. #5 Bug Juice looks to sit behind the early pissing match and close quickly out of the turn. 5-1 odds look sexy and trainer wins 21% 3rd start off the layoff. #stillwinning

    Write Your Comment

    QuadJacks Tracker - Join Now

    Social Followers

    • Lulu

      that, allow me reveal to you exclaty what did deli …

    • great agency

      It's hard to find knowledgeable people about this …

    • w chojnowie

      Thanks for the marvelous posting! I truly enjoyed …

    • pixel Gun 3D hack Tool

      I like the helpful information you provide in your …

    • Mocha

      In response to "Coffee's" article, I see I'm first …

    Recent QuadJacks Tweets

    rolex, rolex submariner, rolex daytona, rolex datejust, rolex watches prices, rolex oyster perpetual, rolex submariner price, rolex presidential, rolex yachtmaster, replica watches rolex air king, gold rolex, presidential rolex, vintage rolex, replica watches, fake watches, replica rolex replica watch, replica watches uk, expensive watches, cheap watches, watches replica, gold watches, women watches, watches for women, watches for men, best watches, ladies watches

    fake rolex watches replica rolex watches for sale

    Duvetica Jassen Dames Duvetica Jassen Heren Peuterey Heren Jassen Peuterey Vrouwen Jassen Ralph Lauren Heren Ralph Lauren Heren Jassen Ralph Lauren Hoeden Ralph Lauren Jassen Vrouwen Ralph Lauren Kinder Ralph Lauren Vrouwen Ralph Lauren Vrouwen Jassen Woolrich Parka Heren Woolrich Parka Vrouwen Tiffany Malaysia Bangle Tiffany Malaysia Bracelets Tiffany Malaysia Cuff Link Tiffany Malaysia Earrings Tiffany Malaysia Key Rings Tiffany Malaysia Necklaces Tiffany Malaysia Pendants Tiffany Malaysia Rings Tiffany Malaysia Sets Buty Nike Air Max 90 Buty New Balance 574 Buty Converse Buty Nike Roshe Run Buty Salomon Nike AIr Max 90 Scarpe http://piazzagroupsrl.it/ Buty Nike Roshe Run Buty Nike Air Max 2015 boty nike dmsk nike boty boty nike pnsk Converse Dmsk Boty Converse Low Dmsk Converse Pnsk Boty Converse Low Pnsk Converse Loafers Dmsk Converse Sandals Dmsk Converse Loafers Pnsk Converse Mid Pnsk Converse Flip flops Dmsk Converse High Tops Boty Dmsk Converse High Tops Boty Pnsk ADIDAS DMSK BOTY ADIDAS NEO DMSK ray ban bryle slune?n bryle ray ban CZ gucci bryle Oakley bryle nike slovenija nike ?evlji slovenija nike air max slovenija Ralph Lauren Sverige Outlet Ralph Lauren Sverige Ralph Lauren Sverige Onlin ralph lauren pike stockholm outlet Canada Goose Barn/Bebis Canada Goose Dam Canada Goose Camp Hooded Canada Goose Chilliwack Bomber Canada Goose Constable Parka Canada Goose Expedition Parka Canada Goose Freestyle V?st Canada Goose Hybridge Hoody Jackor Canada Goose Hybridge Jackor Canada Goose Hybridge Lite Jackor Canada Goose Kensington Parka Canada Goose Livigno Parka Canada Goose Lodge Down Hoody Jackor Canada Goose Montebello Parka Canada Goose Mystique Parka Canada Goose Palliser Parka Canada Goose Snow Mantra Parka Canada Goose Solaris Parka Canada Goose Thompson Jackor Canada Goose Tremblant Jackor Canada Goose Trillium Parka Canada Goose Victoria Parka Canada Goose Whistler Parka Canada Goose Herr Canada Goose Banff Parka Canada Goose Chateau Parka Canada Goose Chilliwack Bomber Canada Goose Citadel Parka Canada Goose Constable Parka Canada Goose Expedition Parka Canada Goose Freestyle V?st Canada Goose Heli-Arctic Parka Canada Goose Hybridge Hoody Jackor Canada Goose Hybridge Jackor Canada Goose Hybridge Lite Jackor Canada Goose Langford Parka Canada Goose Lodge Down Hoody Jackor Canada Goose Mountaineer Jackor Canada Goose Ontario Parka Canada Goose Snow Mantra Parka Canada Goose Tremblant Jackor Canada Goose Yorkville Bomber 2015 Piumini Moncler Donna 2015 Piumini Moncler Uomo 2015 Piumini Moncler Bambini 2015 Piumini Moncler Infante Moncler Donna 2014 Moncler Uomo 2014 Moncler Accessori 2014 Nuovo Moncler Donna Nuovo Moncler Uomo Nuovo Moncler Bambini Nuovoc Moncler Bambini Uomo Piumini Moncler Uomo Moncler Giacche Uomo Moncler Gilet Donna Piumini Moncler Donne Moncler Giacche Moncler Gilet Donna Moncler Piumini Bambino Piumini Moncler Bambini Giubbotti Peuterey Donna Giubbotti Peuterey Nuovo Arrivo Giubbotti Peuterey Uomo 2015 Piumini Moncler Bambini 2015 Piumini Moncler Donna 2015 Piumini Moncler Infante 2015 Piumini Moncler Uomo Armani Jassen Heren Armani Heren T-shirts Boss Heren T-shirts Fitflop Schoenen Gucci Jassen Heren Hugo Boss Jassen Moncler Jassen Heren North Face Jassen North Face Jassen Dames Peuterey Jassen Philipp Plein Heren T-shirts Ralph Lauren Dames Ralph Lauren Heren Ralph Lauren Heren Trainingspakken Ralph Lauren Jassen YSL Heren T-shirts http://www.epicbabez.com/ http://www.topfsunglasses.com/ http://www.sevices-plaisirs.com/ http://www.viralfroxx.com/ http://www.turismonibbiano.it/ http://dantoniodaniele.it/ http://www.casazatlo.it/ http://www.maroc-reservation.eu/ http://www.lublin.be/ http://www.blue-almonds.eu/ http://www.mikebucks.com/ http://clairescoville.com/ http://clearancejewelryaustralia.com/ Ralph Lauren Womens Hoodie Ralph Lauren Mens London 2012 Ralph Lauren Mens City Polo Ralph Lauren Mens Big Pony Polo Ralph Lauren Womens Swimwear Ralph Lauren Mens Flag Polo Ralph Lauren Mens Pants Ralph Lauren Mens U.S. Polo Ralph Lauren Mens Jackets Ralph Lauren Womens Jackets Ralph Lauren Womens Polo Shirts Ralph Lauren Womens Dresses Ralph Lauren Mens Hoodie Ralph Lauren Womens Big Pony Polo Ralph Lauren Womens Vests Ralph Lauren Mens Sport Shorts Ralph Lauren Womens Flag Polo Ralph Lauren Mens Stripe Polo Ralph Lauren Womens U.S. Polo Ralph Lauren Mens Long Sleeved Ralph Lauren Womens Bikini Ralph Lauren Mens Tees Ralph Lauren Mens Polo Shirts Ralph Lauren Mens Match Polo Ralph Lauren Womens Match Polo Ralph Lauren Mens Pony Polo Ralph Lauren Womens Classic Fit Polo Ralph Lauren Womens Pony Polo Ralph Lauren Mens Rugby Ralph Lauren Womens City Polo Ralph Lauren Womens Long Sleeved Ralph Lauren Womens Tee Ralph Lauren Mens US Open Tennis Ralph Lauren Womens Stripe Polos Ralph Lauren Mens Sweaters Ralph Lauren Mens Tracksuits jack wills outlet Nike Air Max 2014 M??czyzna Nike Air Max 2015 M??czyzna Nike Air Max 87 M??czyzna Nike Air Max 90 M??czyzna Nike Air Zoom M??czyzna Nike Flyknit Lunar 2 M??czyzna Nike Free 3.0 Flyknit M??czyzna Nike Free 4.0 Flyknit M??czyzna Nike Free 5.0 +2 M??czyzna Nike Free 5.0 Flyknit M??czyzna Nike Free 5.0 V2 Flyknit M??czyzna Nike Free Run 5.0 v3 M??czyzna Nike Lunarglide 6 M??czyzna Nike Zoom Fit Agility M??czyzna Nike Air Max 2014 Damskie Nike Air Max 2015 Damskie Nike Air Max 87 Damskie Nike Air Max 90 Damskie Nike Flyknit Lunar 2 Damskie Nike Free 3.0 Flyknit Damskie Nike Free 4.0 Flyknit Damskie Nike Free 5.0 +2 Damskie Nike Free 5.0 Flyknit Damskie Nike Free 5.0 V2 Flyknit Damskie Nike Free Run 5.0 v3 Damskie Nike Lunarglide 6 Damskie Nike Zoom Fit Agility Damskie Nike Roshe Run Kids Nike Roshe Run M??czyzna Nike Roshe Run Damskie Nike 3.0 v3 M??czyzna Nike Huarache NM M??czyzna Nike Loafer M??czyzna Nike Wmns Roshe One Slip M??czyzna Nike Air Max Zero M??czyzna Nike 3.0 v3 Damskie Nike Huarache NM Damskie Nike Loafer Damskie Nike Wmns Roshe One Slip Damskie Nike Air Max Zero Damskie Nike Air Rejuven8 Mule 3 Nike SB Stefan Janoski Max M??czyzna Damskie Nike Air Max 2016 M??czyzna Nike Air Max 2016 Damskie

    tag heuer replica replica tissot ralph lauren outlet