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    NFL Betting – Monday Night Doubleheader – QuadJacks Sports Handicapping Sept. 10, 2012

    Posted by FairwayJay September 9, 2012

    AFC Division Rivals Collide in Week 1 – Ravens vs. Bengals and Raiders vs. Chargers

    We’re off a huge opening Week 1 in NFL betting and point spread prognosis, as my personal clients profited from a 6-1 week. For good measure, I chipped-in additional insight, info and situational systems that won on the Buccaneers and Cardinals, and if fact Tweeted the situation to support the Bucs, who beat the Panthers outright 16-10 as home ‘Dog. We went 3-0 on our NFL totals this week including the Bucs/Panthers ‘under’ as a top-play winner. [tweet https://twitter.com/FairwayJay/status/244837105585504256]

    Like a tough table of poker player competitors, not all games offer the same value or potential to win. Game selection management and the ability identify positive situations for success are important as you push for profits while managing your money and emotions.

    As we move through the football season, know that there are ups and down, both in emotions and money.  Don’t let a tough loss or ‘bad beat’ put you on tilt when betting football and sports.

    On to Monday Night Football, where Week 1 features two AFC division games as the Ravens host the Bengals while the Raiders are home vs. the Chargers. Baltimore has been bet up to a 7-point favorite with a slightly rising total to 41.5. Oakland is now a 1-point favorite with the total down slightly to 46.5.

    Interesting note as the Ravens open the season against the Bengals on Monday Night Football. Art Modell passed away last week, and he was the Ravens majority owner and a key person instrumental in pioneering Monday Night Football to a national audience.

    The Ravens beat the Bengals in both meetings last year and were also a 7-point home favorite in a 31-24 win.  Bengals QB Andy Dalton passed 46 times that game with 3 INT’s, and Cincinnati can’t count on winning with that game plan again at Baltimore. In the second meeting at Cincinnati in the last week of the 2011 regular season, Dalton passed 44 times and the Bengals lost to Baltimore again, 24-16. Cincinnati made a surprising run to the playoffs last season while finishing 9-7 and third place in the AFC North. However, the Bengals went 0-7 against teams that reached the playoffs last season.

    Baltimore does break in two new starting LB’s as they try to replace last year’s Defensive Player of the Year Terrell Suggs, who is out until at least November (torn Achilles tendon). The Bengals have new personnel along the offensive line including a rookie first-round pick at right guard. Still, improvement can be expected from 2nd year QB Andy Dalton and WR A.J. Green, who both made the Pro Bowl as rookies.  The Ravens are the only NFL team to make the playoffs each of the last four seasons, and they have been one of the NFL’s strongest teams when playing at home, going 21-3 SU the last three regular seasons including 8-0 last year. Note the Ravens are 12-11-1 ATS over that same time period as they are often installed as a prohibitive home favorite. Annually a dominating defense and #3 last year in total yards against, the Ravens are clearly aging with their stars and do not appear quite as strong defensively especially without Suggs.

    The key to note, watch and bet is that Baltimore has installed a up-tempo, no-huddle offense this offseason and are expected to unveil and adopt the new philosophy for a national audience beginning Monday night. The Ravens offense is now in QB Joe Flacco’s control. Flacco was sharp in the preseason and has some solid WR’s in 3-receiver sets with Anquan Boldin, Torrey Smith and off-season acquisition Jacoby Jones. They also have top RB Ray Rice in the backfield, and he had a career high 704 receiving yards last year and broke three runs over 50 yards against the Bengals last season. Note too that the Ravens love their TE combo of Ed Dixon and Dennis Pitta, who combined for over 90 catches and 900 yards last season.

    While the Ravens and Bengals defenses were both statistically in the top-6 last season, each unit will be tested in the opener with the changes in offensive styles and plans.

    The Raiders and Chargers also played on the final week of the 2011 regular season and San Diego ruined the Raiders playoff aspirations with a 36-28 win in Oakland. A victory and the Raiders would have secured the AFC division title and their first playoff berth since 2002. So longtime rivalry renewed with both teams retooled and the Raiders now employing the youngest NFL head coach in Dennis Allen (39). Recall that San Diego head coach Norv Turner coached the Raiders in 2004-05.

    Follow on Twitter @FairwayJay and Tweet, RT, DM or shoot a message to FairwayJay@gmail.com for more insight and information you can bet on.

    About FairwayJay

    Fairway Jay is a recognized leader and one of the sports industries insightful point spread prognosticators. Fairway Jay understands the dynamics involved in sports handicapping and betting over and above the myriad of stats to sort through to have success. You can sign up for weekly game analysis at www.fairwayjay.us & Follow on Twitter: @FairwayJay

    View all post by FairwayJay Visit author's website

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