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    NFL Preseason Primer – Hall of Fame Game Kickoff QuadJacks Sports Handicapping August 3, 2012

    Posted by FairwayJay August 2, 2012

    Preseason kickoff in Canton, Ohio for the annual Hall of Fame game between the Arizona Cardinals and New Orleans Saints on Sunday, August 5, 2012.

    While many will view this game as meaningless, bettors have taken an interest with some support of the Cardinals (+2.5); now down from the opener of 3 points. The total has been bet up to 37 from the opener 35 despite potential inclement weather.  Low 80’s temperatures, up to 18 mph winds and increased chance of rain now up to 60% with a chance of severe thunderstorms are in the Sunday forecast.

    The Saints played in the Hall of Fame game in 2007 and lost to the Steelers 20-7; a game I analyzed in support of the Steelers. Motivation, practice intensity and Pittsburgh’s 75th anniversary celebration with more fan support played out as planned.

    New Orleans is 9-8 ATS in preseason under head coach Sean Payton, who is suspended for the season as linebackers coach Joe Vitt serves as interim head coach. Vitt will coach during the preseason and then serve his own 6-game suspension to start the regular season. The Saints got back on the field this past week after an offseason filled with turmoil and upheaval for the team following the bounty scandal with severe sanctions levied by the NFL. How the players react this season remains to be seen on the field, however middle linebacker Jonathan Vilma is suspended for the entire season and defensive end Will Smith is benched for four games; both for their alleged roles in the bounty scandal. Here is an update on Saints training camp, and note the New Orleans lost three defensive starters to free agency and the Saints are adjusting to a new defensive system that includes more zone packages under new defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo. New Orleans will be without both starting CB’s for this contest and many challenges will face the Saints as they move forward.

    Still, the Saints foundation is in place despite the challenges and New Orleans has gone 37-11 the past three regular seasons; tied for the best record in the NFL. But this preseason can hardly be of any importance to the Saints. Quarterback Drew Brees is likely to play for just a series or two, and not much more from other key starters. That leaves the offense in the hands of journeyman QB Luke McCown and 2011 practice-squad member Sean Canfield, who should take a majority of the snaps over second-year QB Chase Daniels. .

    Arizona has more depth and motivation on offense with a QB competition also in play between Kevin Kolb and John Skelton; although the job is Kolb’s to lose. Many players appear to favor Skelton, which should also provide other backups to perform better as they battle for positions and support Skelton. The second-half snaps will go to QB Richard Bartel and impressive rookie QB Ryan Lindley; who has grasped the offense quickly and impressed the coaches and team. The right side of the Cardinals offensive line is likely to feature two new starters, and 2007 top pick left tackle Levi Brown played the best football of his career over the second half of last season. The Cardinals have a dangerous receiving TE combo with Todd Heap and Rob Housler while Jeff King is regular contributor with solid all-around skills but is on the PUP (physically unable to perform) list following a torn quad tendon in the offseason. Running back Beanie Wells may be limited as he returns from off-season knee surgery, as he too is currently on the PUP list but look for 2011 second round pick RB Ryan Williams (doubtful) to impress in upcoming  preseason action and during the regular season after missing his rookie season last year with a knee injury.

    Defense is expected to be the strength of the Cardinals and that is the case during the first week of practice. Arizona is strong and deep in the secondary, and the unit is cohesive and confident with all but one starter returning from last season.  Follow the Cardinals training camp news and position battles the next few days and throughout camp.

    The Saints are likely to approach this contest as more of a scrimmage than a game, and therein lies the major difference from preseason football to the regular season. Coaching, cohesiveness, continuity, confidence, motivation, depth and determination all impact preseason preparation as you evaluate and find edges in point spread prognosis. With changes in coaching and schemes on the defensive side of the ball, the Saints are at a disadvantage and not as strong as the Cardinals. Arizona looks more promising as the game approaches and I played the Cardinals +3. I recommend reducing your wagering size during NFL preseason (NFLX) if you’re not comfortable or informed. If you shop lines and cannot get +3 on the Cardinals, also consider a money line play on Arizona at +130 or more.

    About FairwayJay

    Fairway Jay is a recognized leader and one of the sports industries insightful point spread prognosticators. Fairway Jay understands the dynamics involved in sports handicapping and betting over and above the myriad of stats to sort through to have success. You can sign up for weekly game analysis at www.fairwayjay.us & Follow on Twitter: @FairwayJay

    View all post by FairwayJay Visit author's website

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