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    NFL Week 4 Game Preview Handicapping Podcast with FairwayJay and guest Jay Kornegay

    Posted by Quad Jacks September 28, 2012

    Our guest this week is the LVH Vice President of Operations at the LVH Race and Sportsbook, Jay Kornegay, who comes on to talk handicapping in Las Vegas.

    The LVH is one of the best places to watch NFL on Sundays with their “FOOTBALL CENTRAL” which is the biggest and best free football party in Las Vegas.

    The conversation starts with some of the action from week 3, last weeks match up of the New England Patriots and the Baltimore Ravens which Kornegay said “it was right up there in the top 3 of games bet on this year” he goes on to say that “the books have gone to end up on the top side of things for the first 3 weeks”. Jay also said that this years games have been “unpredictable, a lot of upsets” going into the 4th week only 3 undefeated teams.

    FairwayJay brings up some bettings stats, from week 2 the favorites only went 6-8-1 and in week 3 the favorites went 6-10 straight up and against the spread (ATS) went 4 and 12. Looking at this coming week Kornegay says that “there is a few concerning games this week for us” “if we get 6 or 7 of the favorites covering, obviously its going to be a long day for us”. Jay thinks that with the referees coming back we should start to see some more consistency calls, and that it is concerning that the more popular teams are not facing each other. He goes on to say that with the schedule this year they will defiantly know where all the public money is going.

    The talk goes to the totals which this year we have seen record numbers, FairwayJay asks how the LVH sets the total numbers wondering if they set the numbers higher knowing they were going to be bet up. Kornegay says that when they put the numbers up its the sharp money that comes in early and as of recent they have been betting the under, then the public on the weekends bet the over. Jay says “we havent gone in” to setting the totals “lets set it a little higher due to the game is changing, or the replacement refs. We just look at it as a individual or case to case basis, we dont really take history into account, we just look at what is in front of us.”

    The guys wrap up talking about the LVH Super Contest which runs every year and is a $1,500 buy in tournament format of the top NFL handicappers, more info on the contest can be found here.

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