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    Royal Pain – Minnesota at Kansas City Baseball betting | QuadJacks Sports July 21, 2012

    Posted by FairwayJay July 21, 2012

    A pair of teams battling at the bottom of the AL Central play Game 2 of a 3-game series on Saturday, July 21, 2012. The Twins (39-54) have the worst record in the AL but the Royals (39-53) are challenging for the bottom spot following a 2-1 extra inning loss to the Twins Friday. Kansas City has lost five of their last six games, but the situation Saturday supports a bounce back.

    KC starter Luis Mendoza is unknown to many recreational bettors but could offer some value down the stretch. He’s made 11 starts and 16 appearances with the Royals while posting a 4.32 ERA with 50 K’s in 81 innings. But a closer examination of his performances shows Mendoza is in solid form and improved since he rejoined the rotation June 12 with five quality starts in six outings. Over that time, Mendoza has posted a 3.11 ERA including a June 29 win at Minnesota when he pitched 8 innings and allowed just 1 run on 5 hits without issuing a walk. He also held the Twins to 2 runs over 5 innings of relief June 6th. While Mendoza remains winless at home (0-4), his teammates should be primed to help after scoring just 1 run each of his last two starts.

    Scott Diamond (8-3, 2.96 ERA) has been the Twins most consistent starter. But following his very strong start to the season, Diamond has seen his ERA rise from 1.61 and allowed 5 runs on 9 hits over six innings his last start at home versus Baltimore. He pitches with solid control and command, but his .294 BAA on the road must be acknowledged. So too should the Twins bullpen, which can’t be counted on as a bottom-tier collection of sub-par arms and their top-two relievers both pitched Friday.

    Note the Twins will play without 3B Trevor Plouffe, who bruised his thumb Friday and has 19 HR’s this season.

    The Royals as betting favorite may surprise some, yet the early money is on Kansas City. That’s worth noting, along with the strong situations supporting a home favorite when two losing teams meet at this stage of the season. Add in the Royals motivation off a loss and the Royals are worthy of a wager in this division contest between bottom feeders.

    About FairwayJay

    Fairway Jay is a recognized leader and one of the sports industries insightful point spread prognosticators. Fairway Jay understands the dynamics involved in sports handicapping and betting over and above the myriad of stats to sort through to have success. You can sign up for weekly game analysis at www.fairwayjay.us & Follow on Twitter: @FairwayJay

    View all post by FairwayJay Visit author's website

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