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    The Year that Will Be: 2014

    Posted by Mark Gahagan January 8, 2014

    Its fair to say that for every reflection of the previous year you have people asking for predictions of the next year. This article is no exception: lets take a look at a few big stories that are likely to come to pass in 2014.

    1. More States with Enter the Online Gambling Union - This one seems like less of a shocking prediction and more of a certainty. With so many states are looking at it at this point, and the successes in Nevada and New Jersey becoming increasingly evident, surely there will be at least one more state that joins the growing list at this point. As stated before, with states taking both a gambling commission (NV, NJ) and lottery (DE) approach, states have a range of options to look into. California has been listed as one of the most likely states to see online gambling legislation arrive in 2014, but as a California resident I have my doubts, as I have seen this all happen before. Other states include Pennsylvania, Illinois, Iowa, and Massachusetts, so between the five of them it seems like one will see movement in the next year.

    2. Nevada May Consider Full Online Casinos - This is likely to be said every year until it happens, but the success of the New Jersey launch has to have Nevada legislators thinking about changing their own laws. This could become an even bigger issue if the initial revenue numbers that come out of New Jersey show any promise at all. Given Nevada’s thorough approach to vetting online poker sites, this doesn’t necessarily mean we would see online casinos sprout up quickly, but it at least would provide Nevada residents and tourists with an additional incentive to gamble in-state.

    3. A Delaware-Nevada Compact is Going to Get Major Traction - I don’t want to say that Delaware and New Jersey hate each other, but its fair to say that New Jersey is likely to see Delaware as more of  a competitor as Nevada would. With the olive branch already being extended by Nevada’s governor, it seems like there will at least be high level discussions for an agreement between the two states. Of course, such an agreement would be the first in the nation, so it likely to be pretty complicated to actually put together, but it could pave the way for future compacts with other states (see #1) should they start offering any sort of online gambling as well.

    4. Pokerstars is Going to Have to Choose Between New Jersey and the Schienbergs - In an end of the year blog, Pokerstars Head of Corporate Communications Eric Hollreiser lamented the closure of the Atlantic Club and continued to stress the benefits of being in the New Jersey market despite the regulatory delays. The reality is that New Jersey’s Division of Gaming Enforcement has already spoken on the matter: the continued presence of indicted individuals such as Isai Schienberg as shareholders in the company give them a good enough reason to put a hold on the application. With a possible blueprint in place for other gambling commissions to shut out Pokerstars, it seems like they will have to make a choice: keep the Schienbergs or find a way to divest them and other “troublesome” characters from their company. With Stars possessing an iron grip in the international market, the incentive might just not be there, but time will tell.

    5. The WSOP Will Be Just Fine - Every year we seem to hear stories that this is the year that the WSOP suffers from Black Friday and the well of online poker money drying up. It’s time to put those rumors to bed, because it isn’t happening. Yes, the WSOP is going to have to offer more “low buyin” tournaments in order to keep interest high for the general public, but the main event will stay, and hope that the professional players don’t get annoyed enough to boycott (they won’t). With the schedule set to be released later in January, we can see what the layout of the tournaments will be like, but its safe to call now that the WSOP is going to do just fine yet again.

     

    About Mark Gahagan

    Mark is a co-host and producer of the Cardrunners news podcast Rabbit Hunt as well as a poker columnist. You can find his podcasts over at Cardrunners, and you can follow him on twitter @Mark_Gahagan.

    View all post by Mark Gahagan

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