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    Value Betting MLB Baseball and NFL QuadJacks Sports Handicapping August 2, 2012

    Posted by FairwayJay August 1, 2012

    As the calendar turns to August the focus becomes NFL football for many handicappers preparing for the publics most preferred sport.

    As the excitement builds and the betting begins with early lines posted, sports fans, bettors and media members follow the football teams and players with passion.  The NFL preseason kicks off this weekend with the Hall of Fame game and college football (CFB) opening games are less than a month away.

    But in the dog days of summer, baseball is still beatable for many professionals although August can be a tougher time for many with recent trades and adjustments in personnel. Teams like the Astros and Marlins have essentially ‘tossed the towel’ on their season by holding a fire sale and unloading core veteran players and big contracts. Many contenders pick up missing pieces and add quality players in their pursuit of the playoffs and division titles.

    So early August can be a challenging time to evaluate sports with player movement and the start of football season. As baseball continues we evaluate pitching performances, injuries, endless stats and information while determining momentum, motivation and maximizing value. Those thoughts and evaluations also carry over to the NFL and CFB as we evaluate teams, statistics and personnel changes. However, as is often the case in betting sports, contrary thinking and going against public perception and sometimes your own inner feelings is often the prudent play in turning a profit.

    Such was the case yesterday when  we recommended and played the Ray’s over the red-hot A’s as underdog. In fact, we suggested both a 5-inining and game bet on the Rays and you were able to double your pleasure with an extra beating of your bookie as Tampa Bay won 4-1 at Oakland.

    Supporting our play and analysis was an early-August situation from a data base that has produced over 20% return on investment (ROI) the past several years in support of road underdogs the first week of August.

    The A’s had a remarkable run in July going a franchise-best 19-5 and winning 16 of 18 games as underdog. But for those that understood the situation, value, match-ups and motivation I described yesterday, the Ray’s offered up plenty of promise and value and they provided the profit in victory.

    Look first to underdogs and get out of your comfort zone in following too many favorites. The ‘talking heads’ and many less-informed media members will point out obvious situations and hot teams and read off recent result The linemaker knows public tendencies and feelings towards favorites; thus there is often a ‘tax’ or ‘shading’ towards these favorites and public preferred teams. My job is to evaluate information and project positive situations and results. This is based on quantitative analysis and research using experience and a solid feel for the game to interpret information and produce profit.  See if you can uncover more positive information and situations in support of underdogs.  Your bankroll will benefit and you’ll profit from the experience.

    Fairway Jay is a recognized leader and one of the sports and gaming insightful point-spread prognosticators. Fairway Jay understands the dynamics involved in betting sports over and above the myriad of stats to sort through to have success. Fairway Jay is a proven pro and profit producer as a recognized professional handicapper. With documented success and experience to battle with the best and beat the bookmaker, join a proven pro and profit from Fairway Jay’s experience and well-rounded game. Follow on Twitter: @FairwayJay

    About FairwayJay

    Fairway Jay is a recognized leader and one of the sports industries insightful point spread prognosticators. Fairway Jay understands the dynamics involved in sports handicapping and betting over and above the myriad of stats to sort through to have success. You can sign up for weekly game analysis at www.fairwayjay.us & Follow on Twitter: @FairwayJay

    View all post by FairwayJay Visit author's website

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